Rock Stock Channel

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Rock Stock Channel™ is a vibrant and engaging look at the mining and chemical industry supplying the lithium-ion battery-fuelled disruption of the Transportation and Utility industries.

Episodes

Wednesday Jan 24, 2024

E85: Fast & Furious Lithium. Fastmarkets' Will Adams & Jordan Roberts

Wednesday Jan 24, 2024

INDEX:
0:00 - Introduction

4:07 - Fast Markets' Jordan Roberts Lithium Price Forecasts, Differing from Liontown's Financing Woes

7:33 - Fast Markets' Will Adams Breaks Down Inventory Trends and Analyzes Market Dynamics Amidst Ongoing Destocking

11:35 - Market Controversy: Conflicting Reports on Battery Cell Inventories and Incentives for EV Makers

14:02 - Current Inventory Levels in China Slightly Exceed Ideal Range of Two to Three Months

17:25 - Concerns Rise Over Albemarle's Deferred Megaflex Facility Investment in the US Amidst Increasing Difficulty in Securing Lithium Units

20:31 - Addressing the Rise of Chinese-Made EVs Globally and Potential Measures to Level the Playing Field

23:52 - Examining the Impact of Plug-In Hybrids on IRA Guidance and the Potential Lifeline for Incumbents

24:50 - Evaluating China's Innovation and Response Strategies in the Lithium Market: Is Lithium Following the Iron Ore Analogy or Heading Towards Commoditization?

28:22 - Exploring the Sodium-Ion Battery Landscape: Application Suitability, Cost Considerations, and the Future Amidst Evolving EV Battery Technologies

31:30 - Are Chinese Companies Manipulating the Lithium Market to Acquire Assets at Lower Costs?

34:49 - Critical Funding Challenges: Chinese Investors Poised to Take Advantage as Western OEMs Face Tough Financing Environment

37:25 - Uncertainty Surrounding Future Lithium Projects: Will Goulamina and James Bay Move Forward Amidst Current Market Volatility?

#lithium #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

If you like this video, please click the 'like' button and please also comment so we can improve our content going forward.

Register your email at https://www.rkequity.com and follow Rodney and me on Twitter (@lithiumionbull @RodneyHooper13) and on LinkedIn. Please also subscribe here on YouTube to Rock Stock Channel to ensure full access to all our free content.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Saturday Jan 20, 2024

Rock Stock Recap E7: Peak Pessimism?!

Saturday Jan 20, 2024

INDEX:
0:35 - Howard and Rodney Reflect on Five-Year Partnership and Launch of First Podcast

3:10 - Analyzing Lithium Market Trends: A Year-by-Year Review and Predictions for 2024

6:09 - Examining the Roots of Lithium Euphoria's Demise and the Emergence of Pessimistic Outlook: Will it Spark the Next Bull Market?

8:03 - Reflecting on Past Predictions: Are Faster Price Declines Indicators of a Quicker Recovery in the Lithium Market?

9:56 - Argentina's Lithium Outlook Brightens: New Market Players Enter as Lithium America's Argentina Hits Production Milestone

12:05 - Ganfeng's Role as a Lithium Rally Indicator: Will Their Spot Carbonate Price Predict Broader Market Trends in 2024?

12:36 - Scrutinizing Lithium Industry Giants: Q4 Results to Reveal Potential Production Cuts and Growth Capex Adjustments

14:38 - Is Lithium Industry Facing Peak Pessimism? Analysts Reflect on the Ongoing Bull vs. Bear Debate Amid Downgrades and Market Trends

18:18 - Addressing the Lithium Supply-Demand Paradox: How Has the Market Caught Up, and Is the Investment Case for EVs Still Intact?

20:17 Evaluating Challenges in Low-Grade Lepidolite Extraction: Implications for the Lithium Market Amid Price Fluctuations

25:19 - Spodumene Mines at Risk: Potential 500,000 Ton Reduction and Oversupply Concerns in the Lithium Market

26:44 - Potential Lithium Production Cutbacks: 65,000 Ton Reduction, Highlighting Ganfeng Pilbara Deal as a Key Indicator

29:06 - Implications of Lower Lithium Prices on Operations: Cash Flow Challenges and the Likelihood of Mines Going Offline

30:24 - Q4 Results Impact on Lithium Industry: Albemarle's CapEx, Pilbara's Response, and Continued Supply Challenges

32:03 - Market Perception: Mixed Views on Imminent Turnaround, Eyes on Key Players Arcadium, Albemarle, and SQM

33:07 - Potential Panic in the Market: Analysts Predict Scramble for Material as Operations Consider Care and Maintenance

34:55 - Can Chinese Operators Sustain Production Amid Losses? Questioning the Viability of Prolonged Production at Current Price Levels

36:46 - Anticipating a Demand Bump: The Likelihood of Increased EV Sales and Gigawatt Hours Deployed in the Coming Years

38:52 - Election Year Uncertainty: Potential Volatility and Market Impact Amid Political Developments

46:05 - Investment Dilemma: To Double Down on Uranium or Average Down in Lithium? Evaluating Western Australia's Hard Rock Projects, M&A Trends, and the Role of Argentina and SQM in the Evolving Market

48:04 - The Future of Lithium: Emphasizing Structural Deficit Amidst Solar and Battery Storage Growth

52:08 Competitive Tension: Brazil, Africa, and Argentina Face Off Against China Dominance in Lithium Market, Q1 Catalysts Awaited for Corporate Strategic Demand

55:05 - Caution on Acquisitions: Companies Likely to Focus on Organic Growth Plans Despite Market Dynamics

57:14 - Impact of COVID-19 on Cost Curve and Profitability

57:58 - Examining Stability and Cost Competitiveness of Lithium Production Amid Market Dynamics

#lithium #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

If you like this video, please click the 'like' button and please also comment so we can improve our content going forward.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Thursday Dec 28, 2023

E84: 2023 Lithium Recap w/ Mac Whale & Darko Kuzmanovic

Thursday Dec 28, 2023

INDEX:
0:06 - Introduction

5:58 - Lithium and Iron Ore Price Comparisons. Australia-Driven Spodumene Market Dynamics

6:58 - Rapid Lithium Price Decline, Questioning Whether Sharp Reversal Might Occur Given the Speed of the Fall

8:23 - Comparisons Drawn Between Lithium and Iron Ore Volatility, Highlighting Immaturity as a Cause for Lithium's Price Swings

13:12 - Comparing Iron Ore Market Orderliness to Emerging Lithium Industry. Equilibrium Challenges Due to Continued Fast Growth and Increasing Entrants?

14:36 - Unprecedented Rise in Lithium Prices, Attributes the Change to Shift in Market Players and Influx of Capital, Highlights Impact of Short Positions in Stocks

17:37 - Unique Challenges of Building a New Lithium Industry, Anticipate Cyclical Ups and Downs Coinciding with Economic Growth and Chinese Buying Patterns

19:49 - Challenges in Rallying Resource Stocks in Toronto Despite General Market Improvement, Foresee Delayed Impact on Lithium Sector

27:49 - Structural Factors Impacting Valuations in the Canadian Resource Market, Highlighting Regulatory Changes and Global Investment Trends

29:35 - Balloon Effect in Australian Lithium Market Valuations

31:40 - Efficiency of Global Markets. Varied Valuations in ASX, TSX, and US Lithium Stocks Amidst Shifting EV Sentiment

36:23 - Market Disparities. Examining Valuation Dichotomy Between Permitted Mines and Fully Funded Projects

44:21 - Investors to Consider Exploration Upside in Lower-Valued Projects

46:03 - Sigma's Decision to List Brazil Subsidiary in the U.S. and Singapore. Motives and Tax Implications for Shareholders

49:05 - Potential Takeover of Sigma Amidst Listing Changes

57:04 - Winsome's Resource Announcement. Questions About Resource Valuation Metrics in Current Bearish Market

1:02:45 - The Need for Concentrate Solutions and Downstream Opportunities, Green Tech Metals' Model as a Potential Blueprint for Winsome and Patriot

1:07:16 - Hancock Group's Entry into Lithium Sector and Speculates on Strategic Approach with Azure Deal

1:11:23 - Bullish Outlook for Allkem and Livent Merger, Anticipating Substantial Re-Rating and Growth Opportunities in Argentina and James Bay

1:14:07 - Anticipating Signs of Inventory Destocking, Continued Customer Purchases, and Potential Production Cuts from Existing Producers

1:16:17 - Lithium Market Operates in Short-Term Duopoly? Emphasizing Dominance of Albemarle and Pilbara Amid Growing Supply

#lithium #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Thursday Dec 28, 2023

RK Equity Presents: 121 London 2023 Lithium Panel Discussion

Thursday Dec 28, 2023

INDEX:
3:28 - Lithium Ionic Introduction
4:45 - Winsome Resources Introduction
6:44 - Atlantic Lithium Introduction
7:21 - Brunswick Exploration Introduction
9:45 - Why valuation discrepancy in the immature lithium market?
12:10 - Who succeeds: Crocodile Dundees or Québec?
16:14 - Lithium Ionic: Path to production
21:24 - Atlantic Lithium trading at a 30% discount
26:29 - Ionic Lithium: Strategic Interests?
29:23 - Winsome Resources: Strategic Interests?
33:07 - Spodumene vs. Iron Ore & Commodity vs. Specialty Chemical

#lithium #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Tuesday Dec 12, 2023

RK Equity Presents: Revolutionize or Rust: Legacy Wake-Up Call!

Tuesday Dec 12, 2023

Rodney Hooper presents his latest thoughts at the 121 Mining Conference in London November 2023

INDEX:
0:35 - Executive Summary
3:31 - Where Are Inventories?
5:32 - Global Brands BEV Quarterly Sales
6:16 - Price Parity Before Subsidies
7:58 - Not All EVs Are Created Equal
8:45 - Profitability Matters
11:45 - China OEM Share of EV Exports
12:25 - Political Concessions & Shifts
13:14 - Transition Away From EV Subsidies To Mass Adoption
15:17 - BESS Cell and System Production Growth
16:28 - The Economics of Lithium
17:41 - Long-Term Fair Value Price
19:11 - Conclusion

#lithium #electricvehicles #Tesla
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

If you like this video, please click the 'like' button and please also comment so we can improve our content going forward.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Friday Dec 08, 2023

E83: Australian Lithium Patriots. Patriot’s Ken Brinsden

Friday Dec 08, 2023

INDEX:
2:09 - Exploring the Dichotomy of Bids for Western Australian Spodumene Assets and Chinese Interest in Atlas Lithium

4:03 - Pilbara Minerals' Shorted Stock Status Despite Pristine Balance Sheet and China's Guangzhou Futures' Downward Trend

5:23 - Lithium Market Dilemma: Demand or Supply Issue? Goldman Sachs' Forecast Misses the Mark.

6:36 - Reflecting on China's Role in the Lithium Market: Volatility, Short-Term Thinking, and Novel Supply Sources

12:02 - Diversifying Supply Chains: Initiatives in Western Australia, Korea, and Beyond to Reduce Reliance on China

16:52 - Western Carmakers Face Existential Threat: 10-Year Lag Behind Chinese Competition Forces Urgent Supply Chain Reshaping

18:47 - Political Dilemma: GM's $10 Billion Buyback Amid EV Boom Raises Questions About Future Investments

20:47 - Lithium's Fate: A Cyclical Downturn or a Potential 10-Year Disinterest, Drawing Parallels with Iron Ore's History

22:03 - Unveiling the Magnetite Story: How China's Aggressive Moves in Iron Ore Parallel Current Concerns in Lithium Markets

27:25 - Ken Brinsden's Move to Patriot: Identifying World-Class Mine Potential Similar to Pilgangoora in the Lithium Industry

30:20 - Chris and Gina's M&A Agenda: Thwarting Foreign Players and Stealthy Canadian Asset Stakes Unveiled

37:48 - The Future of Lithium: Will it Follow the Path of Iron Ore with a Duopoly, or Embrace a More Diverse Landscape?

43:41 - The Shifting Dynamics of Spodumene Value: From 30% to Near 100%, What It Means for the Lithium Supply Chain

52:29 - Strategic Vision Unveiled: The Intersection of Mine Capacity and Chemical Capacity in Patriot's Future Plans

56:23 - Decoding Global Spodumene Markets: Evaluating the Viability of Spodumene Transport Globally

1:01:25 - Unveiling the Dilemma of Lithium Prospects: Rarity of Credible Exploration Projects Puts Companies in a Quandary

1:05:44 - Quebec's Project Development Timeline Mirrors Western Australia: Is Corvette Well-Positioned Despite Similar Two-and-a-Half-Year Projection?

1:09:17 - Lepidolite's Place on the Cost Curve: Assessing the Viability and Profitability of Different Lithium Sources.

1:14:30 - Lithium Price Floors Under Scrutiny: Are OEMs Truly Comfortable with $25-30 per Tonne, or Are High Teens More Realistic?

1:18:41 - Deja Vu to 2018: How Long Will the Lithium Boom Last?

1:23:16 - Market Dynamics and Short Interest: Will the $2 Billion Stock Buyback Pose a Challenge for the Lithium Industry?

1:26:10 - Industry Outlook: Betting on Higher Stock Prices in the Coming Six Months, with China as the Market's "Monkey Wrench."

#lithium #Tesla #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Thursday Nov 23, 2023

RK Equity Events: 121 Conference Client Discussions

Thursday Nov 23, 2023

INDEX:
0:06 - Atlantic Lithium
4:51 - Discussion with RK Equity $300 Patron Steve Driscoll
6:45 - Winsome Resources

#lithium #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Saturday Nov 18, 2023

E82: Benchmark’s Price Premium

Saturday Nov 18, 2023

INDEX:
0:00 - Introduction

0:22 - First Private Equity Fund

4:11 - Evolution of Benchmark

8:17 - Benchmark's Geopolitical Influence and Industry Transformation

13:08 - The Timeline for Achieving US Battery Supply Chain Independence

16:30 - Arnold Schwarzenegger Champions Critical Minerals and Battery Supply Chain on Global Stage

20:47 - China's Imposition of Export Licenses on Graphite Sparks Global Concerns

23:41 - The Potential for AUS Players to Extend Down the Value Chain

27:00 - Lithium Industry Faces Shifting Dynamics: Could The Hunter Become the Hunted Amid Market Valuation Swings?

31:02 - Exxon's Lithium Aspirations: Investment Plans and Challenges of Pricing Mechanisms

36:20 - Challenges in Meeting EV Demand: Unpacking the Gap Between Ambitious Production Numbers and Supply Constraints

39:05 - Biden's Impact on U.S. EV Policy: Potential for Joe Manchin's Presidential Bid

45:47 - Bifurcation in Lithium Pricing: Capital Intensity, Regional Supply Chains and Different Prices in Global Markets

48:27 - Wrap-up

#lithium #Tesla #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Thursday Nov 16, 2023

E81: Will Trump ICE Electric Vehicles?

Thursday Nov 16, 2023

INDEX:
0:06 - Introduction

0:54 - EV battery supply chain, political polarization in the U.S., departure of Joe Manchin and speculation about Trump's electoral success

8:54 - Speculation on Joe Manchin's political future. Challenges of the two-party system.

12:19 - Consumer-driven nature of the EV market. Potential Republican policy changes impacting EV credits. Republican proposals for modifying the $7,500 individual credit.

17:42 - Potential impact of a Republican administration on permitting reforms, national security, and fossil fuel promotion. What if Trump wins and Congress remains in Democratic hands?

21:13 - Key demand drivers for EVs:$7,500 point-of-sale credit. Income-level and vehicle origin considerations for federal tax credit.

25:05 - Eligibility of Korean and Japanese batteries under free trade agreements. Importance of critical mineral processing in free trade agreement countries.

26:35 - Complexities of mineral processing and value-added criteria for eligibility under the proposed regulations for tax credits.

32:35 - Impact of China's control over graphite and lithium processing on the eligibility for tax credits - potential limitations for Australian spodumene.

34:10 - Potential collaboration between the U.S. and China - IP licensing and technology transfer.

38:10 - LPO and Jigar Shah's role in financing the clean energy transition. Potential impact of different administrations on the LPO. Expectations of increased loan activities.

43:09 - UAW and the potential impact of strikes on traditional automakers. Biden administration's stance on unions. Tesla as a potential target for unionization efforts.

45:02 - Leasing loophole related to the interpretation of a commercial vehicle credit by the current administration.

47:23 - Belief in ESG as a strong investment framework. China's aggressive EV push. US context considering natural resource footprints. Rising gasoline prices. Consumer preferences on EV adoption in 2022.

51:52 - Wrap-up

#lithium #Tesla #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Monday Nov 06, 2023

Rock Stock Recap | E6

Monday Nov 06, 2023

INDEX:
0:00 - Introduction
0:37 - October Lithium Scoreboard, sentiment after jobs report/Powell rate comments
2:00 - Albemarle and Livent results commentary
4:29 - Booming China EV Sales
9:14 - BYD Results & Global EV success
10:15 - What next for Azure? - reading Mineral Resources, Hancock, SQM tea leaves.
14:00 - Mineral Resources, Piedmont & Sayona discussion
18:18 - Sigma drilling results & other Brazil spodumene plays
18:58 - IperionX titanium - $12.7M Dept of Defense grant
20:18 - Talon Metals $115M DOE grant, Albemarle $90M DOD funding for Kings Mountain
21:00 - Toyota supply chain savvy; $8B more for North Carolina battery plant
24:35 - Canada $1.5B Infrastructure Fund; the USA EV adoption slowdown narrative.
25:38 - Lithium price bottoming? Perspective of lithium futures trader/ALB/LTHM.
27:52 - Zimbabwe & other Africa production - threat to ALB/PLS spodumene duopoly?
32:50 - Sir Sam Jonah on Atlantic and Ghana's Lithium future
35:10 - Champion Electric Metals @ IMARC & upcoming Red Cloud, Benchmark, 121 & Deutsche conferences
37:30 - Dichotomy b/w equity valuations & inbound strategic interest in development projects
38:20 - Banks running processes at Global Lithium, Latin Resources, European Metals Holdings
39:19 - Will more OEMs write checks for spodumene in face of Compass Minerals disappointment?

#lithium #Tesla #electricvehicles
_________________________________________________

Thank you to our Patrons for supporting the channel.

And finally, if you find value in our content, please consider joining us on Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel
_________________________________________________

DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein